Entered this with 40 pip stop and 100 pip limit.
My excel program that backtests trades indicates that of the 47 similar set ups since Jan 2006, 22 were winners and 25 were winners. As each winning trade wins more than the losing trades lose, the average gain is 20.5 pips per trade after accounting for the spread.
UPDATE: 23:32 13th April 2014
To no one’s surprise, bearing in mind the geo-political situation at the moment, my trade raced through the limit I’d set within half hour of the market opening.
+100 pips
I’m off for Easter Holidays now. Happy Trading.